Oversold

PCAR

Same as last week
Valuation18/ 100
Cash flow & growth38/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

PCAR's valuation is expensive, below average fundamentals limit its appeal, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 25.8× versus the full-history median of 13.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 14.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 17.7/100. The model applies a 24.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 14.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 23× PE and $6.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -12.3%, earnings -18.5%, operating margin -2.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 11.5% of revenue. The business score is 38.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.44 of EPS and a 23× PE, suggesting a share price of about $148.18. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 20.7% upside, or about $148.14.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $4.08 of EPS and a 21.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $88.93 — 28% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

PCAR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE26x15x76% higher
PE percentile965092% higher
EPS$4.76$5.5214% lower
FCF$3.1B$2.1B50% higher
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PCAR’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

PCAR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

PCAR’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

PCAR PE Valuation

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This table applies PCAR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

PCAR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks PCAR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

PCAR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks PCAR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

PCAR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks PCAR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

PCAR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in PCAR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

PCAR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

PCAR PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares PCAR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

PCAR Weekly Price

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This chart uses PCAR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

PCAR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares PCAR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

PCAR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

RDW

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth70/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential63/ 100

RDW's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +63.1%, operating margin +2.4 percentage points. The business score is 69.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 79% upside, or about $19.01.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 27.8%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 62.7% downside, or about $3.96, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

RDW vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$1.46-$1.47$0.01 higher
FCF-$102.8M-$52.8M-$50M
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RDW’s earnings are above their historical averages.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

RDW’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

RDW PE Valuation

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This table applies RDW's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

RDW Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks RDW's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks RDW's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

RDW Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks RDW's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

RDW Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in RDW's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

RDW Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares RDW's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

RDW Weekly Price

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This chart uses RDW's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares RDW's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

RDW Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.