Oversold

PONY

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth77/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential67/ 100

PONY's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +46%, operating margin +172.1 percentage points. The business score is 76.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 86.7% upside, or about $12.39.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 35.8%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 67% downside, or about $2.19, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

PONY vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$0.36-$1.93$1.56 higher
FCF-$314.8M-$185.4M-$129.5M
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PONY’s earnings are above their historical averages.

PONY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss widening
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

PONY’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

PONY PE Valuation

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This table applies PONY's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

PONY Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks PONY's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

PONY Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks PONY's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

PONY Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks PONY's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

PONY Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in PONY's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

PONY Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

PONY PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares PONY's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

PONY Weekly Price

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This chart uses PONY's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

PONY Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares PONY's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

PONY Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.