The score fell 13 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 2.1%, from $51.51 to $50.45.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 12.6 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Historical cheapness: current PE is 117.5× versus the full-history median of 48.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 10.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 13.1/100. The model applies a 30.3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 82× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 111.5× PE and $0.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +1.6%, earnings -23.9%, operating margin +3.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 17.6% of revenue. The business score is 62.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $0.63 of EPS and a 111.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $69.99. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 33.9% upside, or about $70.00.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.38 of EPS and a 89.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $34.22 — 35% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.