Oversold

PZZA

Valuation31/ 100
Cash flow & growth34/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential63/ 100

PZZA's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are below averages and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 6 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 4.4%, from $23.72 to $22.68.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 5.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 28.7× versus the full-history median of 30.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 54.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 31.4/100. The model applies a -22.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 28.7× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 25.1× PE and $0.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -5.6%, earnings -65%, operating margin -2.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 1.7% of revenue. The business score is 33.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $0.68 of EPS and a 25.1× PE, suggesting about $17.20 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $26.08. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.45 of EPS and a 18.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $8.46 — 63% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

PZZA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE29x63x54% lower
PE percentile435014% lower
EPS$0.79$1.4947% lower
FCF$34.2M$81.4M58% lower
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PZZA’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

PZZA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

PZZA’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

PZZA PE Valuation

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This table applies PZZA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

PZZA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks PZZA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

PZZA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks PZZA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

PZZA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks PZZA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

PZZA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in PZZA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

PZZA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

PZZA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares PZZA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

PZZA Weekly Price

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This chart uses PZZA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

PZZA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares PZZA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

PZZA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.