Oversold

QDEL

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth31/ 100
Upside potential34/ 100
Risk potential61/ 100

QDEL's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -2.5%, operating margin -22.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is -7.9% of revenue. The business score is 30.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 31.3% upside, or about $18.34.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 60.9% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 45.2% and the PE falls 28.6%. That gives $0.03 per share at a 167.4× PE, or about $5.46. Price swings alone suggest 50% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

QDEL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE234x50x365% higher
PE percentile935087% higher
EPS-$15.44$0.841,944% lower
FCF-$211.2M$307.8M169% lower
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QDEL’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

QDEL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

QDEL’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

QDEL PE Valuation

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This table applies QDEL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

QDEL Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks QDEL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

QDEL Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks QDEL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

QDEL Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks QDEL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

QDEL Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in QDEL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

QDEL Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

QDEL PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares QDEL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

QDEL Weekly Price

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This chart uses QDEL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

QDEL Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares QDEL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

QDEL Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.