Oversold

RACE

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth66/ 100
Upside potential40/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

RACE's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and the outlook is broadly stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 2 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 2.5%, from $420.54 to $409.95. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 2.0 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +5.6%, earnings +3.8%, operating margin +0.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 40% of revenue. The business score is 66/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 19.2% upside, or about $493.23.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 20.1%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 28.3% downside, or about $296.68, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

RACE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE38x45x14% lower
PE percentile265047% lower
EPS$10.77$6.7759% higher
FCF$3.4B$1.2B188% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

RACE’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

RACE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

RACE’s outlook is generally stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

RACE PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies RACE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

RACE Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks RACE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

RACE Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks RACE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

RACE Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks RACE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

RACE Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in RACE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

RACE Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

RACE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares RACE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

RACE Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses RACE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

RACE Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares RACE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

RACE Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.