Oversold

REFI

Valuation31/ 100
Cash flow & growth64/ 100
Upside potential40/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

REFI's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 7 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 2.5%, from $10.68 to $10.95. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 7.2 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 8× versus the full-history median of 6.3× shown in the valuation table, producing 33.8/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 30.9/100. The model applies a 4.7% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 6.5× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +7.4%, earnings -25.1%, operating margin +41.4 percentage points. The business score is 63.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $12.59. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 17.9% downside, or about $8.99, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

REFI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE8x6.3x26% higher
PE percentile945088% higher
EPS$1.37$1.8024% lower
FCF$26.9M$22.2M21% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

REFI’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

REFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

REFI’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

REFI PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies REFI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

REFI Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks REFI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

REFI Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks REFI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

REFI Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks REFI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

REFI Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in REFI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

REFI Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

REFI PE vs Real Estate Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares REFI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Real Estate sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

REFI Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses REFI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

REFI Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares REFI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

REFI Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.