Oversold

RIG

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth78/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RIG's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +8.5%, operating margin +25.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 22% of revenue. The business score is 77.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 31.7% upside, or about $7.47.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 39.1%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 41% downside, or about $3.35, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

RIG vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$1.83-$1.25$0.59 lower
FCF$904M$126.1M617% higher
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RIG’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages.

RIG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

RIG’s outlook is generally improving, with declining sales expectations a concern.

RIG PE Valuation

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This table applies RIG's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

RIG Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks RIG's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

RIG Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks RIG's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

RIG Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks RIG's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

RIG Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in RIG's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

RIG Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

RIG PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares RIG's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

RIG Weekly Price

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This chart uses RIG's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

RIG Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares RIG's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

RIG Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.