Oversold

RIGL

Valuation73/ 100
Cash flow & growth57/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

RIGL's valuation is historically cheap while fundamentals are somewhat mixed and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 7 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 4.7%, from $46.48 to $48.67.

Valuation and price changes added 6.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 3× versus the full-history median of 6.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 73.6/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 73.4/100. The model applies a 8.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 5.8× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 4.1× PE and $19.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +3.3%, earnings +201.7%, operating margin -7.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 28.7% of revenue. The business score is 56.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $19.20 of EPS and a 4.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $77.88. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 60% upside, or about $77.87.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $13.67 of EPS and a 2.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $29.40 — 40% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

RIGL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE3x22x87% lower
PE percentile275045% lower
EPS$16.32$0.722,154% higher
FCF$79.4M-$6.9M+$86.3M
Loading historical comparisons…

RIGL’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

RIGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

RIGL’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

RIGL PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies RIGL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

RIGL Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks RIGL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

RIGL Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks RIGL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

RIGL Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks RIGL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

RIGL Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in RIGL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

RIGL Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

RIGL PE vs Healthcare Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares RIGL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

RIGL Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses RIGL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

RIGL Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares RIGL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

RIGL Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.