Oversold

RILY

Same as last week
Valuation95/ 100
Cash flow & growth77/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

RILY's valuation is historically cheap and fundamentals are above averages.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 0.5× versus the full-history median of 3.5× shown in the valuation table, producing 94.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 94.7/100. The model applies a 7.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 2.3× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 0.8× PE and $15.9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +41.5%, operating margin +68.1 percentage points. The business score is 76.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $15.92 of EPS and a 0.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $13.03 — 85% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $10.41 of EPS and a 0.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $5.15 — 27% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

RILY vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE0.5x6.9x92% lower
PE percentile2.45095% lower
EPS$13.33-$0.32$13.65 higher
FCF$322.9M$50.2M544% higher
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RILY’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

RILY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
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RILY PE Valuation

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This table applies RILY's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

RILY Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks RILY's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

RILY Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks RILY's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

RILY Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks RILY's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

RILY Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in RILY's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

RILY Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

RILY PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares RILY's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

RILY Weekly Price

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This chart uses RILY's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

RILY Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares RILY's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

RILY Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.