Oversold

RIOT

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth48/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

RIOT's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +24.5%, operating margin -68.1 percentage points. The business score is 47.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 52.3% upside, or about $32.70.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 55.3% downside, or about $9.60, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

RIOT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE30x68x56% lower
PE percentile435013% lower
EPS-$3.72-$0.85$2.87 lower
FCF-$882.8M-$657.4M-$225.4M
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RIOT’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

RIOT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

RIOT’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

RIOT PE Valuation

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This table applies RIOT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

RIOT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks RIOT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

RIOT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks RIOT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

RIOT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks RIOT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

RIOT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in RIOT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

RIOT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

RIOT PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares RIOT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

RIOT Weekly Price

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This chart uses RIOT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

RIOT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares RIOT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

RIOT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.