Oversold

RIVN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth71/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

RIVN's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +14.2%, operating margin +9.8 percentage points. The business score is 71.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 48.1% upside, or about $23.74.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 27.7%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 49.4% downside, or about $8.11, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

RIVN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$2.58-$9.88$7.30 higher
FCF-$3.5B-$4.2B+$664.3M
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RIVN’s earnings are above their historical averages.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss stable
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

RIVN’s outlook is mixed, though analyst coverage is limited.

RIVN PE Valuation

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This table applies RIVN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks RIVN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks RIVN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks RIVN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

RIVN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in RIVN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

RIVN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares RIVN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

RIVN Weekly Price

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This chart uses RIVN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares RIVN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

RIVN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

SON

Valuation78/ 100
Cash flow & growth75/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

SON's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages, but expected margin pressure limits the outlook.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 8.0%, from $56.47 to $51.95. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 1.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 7.4× versus the full-history median of 12.2× shown in the valuation table, producing 79.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 77.7/100. The model applies a 5.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 10.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 8.3× PE and $7.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +31.7%, earnings +16.1%, operating margin +2.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 5.4% of revenue. The business score is 74.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $7.39 of EPS and a 8.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $61.66. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 28.9% upside, or about $61.67.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $5.50 of EPS and a 6.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $36.70 — 23% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SON vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE7.4x14x47% lower
PE percentile125076% lower
EPS$6.48$3.5284% higher
FCF$403.7M$285M42% higher
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SON’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

SON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionTight

SON’s outlook is mixed, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

SON PE Valuation

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This table applies SON's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SON Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SON's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SON Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SON's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SON Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SON's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SON Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SON's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SON Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SON PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares SON's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SON Weekly Price

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This chart uses SON's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SON Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SON's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SON Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.