Oversold

RIVN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth71/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

RIVN's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +14.2%, operating margin +9.8 percentage points. The business score is 71.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 48.1% upside, or about $23.74.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 27.7%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 49.4% downside, or about $8.11, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

RIVN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$2.58-$9.88$7.30 higher
FCF-$3.5B-$4.2B+$664.3M
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RIVN’s earnings are above their historical averages.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss stable
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

RIVN’s outlook is mixed, though analyst coverage is limited.

RIVN PE Valuation

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This table applies RIVN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks RIVN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks RIVN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks RIVN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

RIVN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in RIVN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

RIVN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares RIVN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

RIVN Weekly Price

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This chart uses RIVN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares RIVN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

RIVN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

UAA

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth34/ 100
Upside potential36/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

UAA's valuation appears fair, below average fundamentals limit its appeal and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -3.4%, operating margin -9.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is -1.6% of revenue. The business score is 34/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 25.7% upside, or about $6.42.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 46.3% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 29.9% and the PE falls 23.4%. That gives $0.18 per share at a 15.6× PE, or about $2.74. Price swings alone suggest 38.8% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

UAA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE20x27x25% lower
PE percentile405021% lower
EPS-$1.15$0.034,457% lower
FCF-$81.1M-$50.8M-$30.3M
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UAA’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

UAA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

UAA’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

UAA PE Valuation

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This table applies UAA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

UAA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks UAA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

UAA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks UAA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

UAA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks UAA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

UAA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in UAA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

UAA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

UAA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares UAA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

UAA Weekly Price

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This chart uses UAA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

UAA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares UAA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

UAA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.