The score fell 10 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 32.6%, from $76.90 to $51.82.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 9.8 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Historical cheapness: current PE is 15× versus the full-history median of 10× shown in the valuation table, producing 25.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 30/100. The model applies a 25.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 14.3× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 15× PE and $4.5 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -5.9%, earnings -5.4%, operating margin -0.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 1.7% of revenue. The business score is 44.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $4.50 of EPS and a 15× PE, suggesting a share price of about $67.56. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 35.5% upside, or about $67.59.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $2.84 of EPS and a 12.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $34.59 — 31% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.