Oversold

RXO

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth57/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RXO's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages, while forward estimates point to a return to profit and improving margins.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +9.5%, operating margin +0.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is -0.3% of revenue. The business score is 57.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 39.4% upside, or about $27.17.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 27.5%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 46% downside, or about $10.52, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

RXO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE595x168x254% higher
PE percentile884977% higher
EPS-$0.61-$0.22$0.39 lower
FCF-$18.1M$62.9M129% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

RXO’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

RXO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

RXO’s outlook is generally improving, supported by an expected return to profitability.

RXO PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies RXO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

RXO Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks RXO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

RXO Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks RXO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

RXO Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks RXO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

RXO Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in RXO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

RXO Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

RXO PE vs Industrials Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares RXO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

RXO Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses RXO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

RXO Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares RXO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

RXO Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.