Oversold

RYN

Valuation29/ 100
Cash flow & growth22/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

RYN's valuation is somewhat elevated, weak fundamentals weigh on the score and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 11 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 0.4%, from $20.38 to $20.46. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 10.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 41.8× versus the full-history median of 29.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 28.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 29.2/100. The model applies a 12% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 20.7× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -12.8%, earnings -90.2%, operating margin -29.1 percentage points. The business score is 22.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $23.25. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 22.3% downside, or about $15.71, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

RYN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE42x38x9% higher
PE percentile655031% higher
EPS$0.48$1.4366% lower
FCF$264.1M$77.9M239% higher
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RYN’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

RYN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

RYN’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

RYN PE Valuation

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This table applies RYN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

RYN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks RYN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

RYN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks RYN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

RYN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks RYN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

RYN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in RYN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

RYN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

RYN PE vs Real Estate Sector

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This chart compares RYN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Real Estate sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

RYN Weekly Price

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This chart uses RYN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

RYN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares RYN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

RYN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.