Oversold

SGI

Valuation72/ 100
Cash flow & growth83/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SGI's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 5 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 8.5%, from $64.37 to $69.87.

Valuation and price changes added 5.6 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 26.7× versus the full-history median of 36.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 69.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 72.4/100. The model applies a 17.7% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 38.7× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 31.3× PE and $3.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +27.1%, earnings +74.8%, operating margin +4.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 10.1% of revenue. The business score is 82.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $3.19 of EPS and a 31.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $99.86. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 49.6% upside, or about $99.87.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $2.12 of EPS and a 25.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $53.50 — 20% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SGI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE27x39x32% lower
PE percentile275047% lower
EPS$2.50$1.9329% higher
FCF$769M$595.1M29% higher
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SGI’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

SGI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

SGI’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

SGI PE Valuation

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This table applies SGI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SGI Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SGI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SGI Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SGI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SGI Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SGI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SGI Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SGI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SGI Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SGI PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

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This chart compares SGI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SGI Weekly Price

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This chart uses SGI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SGI Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SGI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SGI Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.