Oversold

SHOO

Valuation43/ 100
Cash flow & growth75/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

SHOO's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 6 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 1.3%, from $44.24 to $43.68.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 5.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 21.5× versus the full-history median of 17.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 35/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 42.7/100. The model applies a 29.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 18.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 23.8× PE and $2.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +18%, earnings +57.5%, operating margin +1.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 8% of revenue. The business score is 74.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.80 of EPS and a 23.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $66.53. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 55% upside, or about $66.54.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.73 of EPS and a 16.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $28.77 — 33% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SHOO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE21x26x19% lower
PE percentile685036% higher
EPS$2.00$1.7912% higher
FCF$218.1M$161.1M35% higher
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SHOO’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

SHOO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

SHOO’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

SHOO PE Valuation

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This table applies SHOO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SHOO Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SHOO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SHOO Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SHOO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SHOO Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SHOO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SHOO Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SHOO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SHOO Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SHOO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares SHOO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SHOO Weekly Price

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This chart uses SHOO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SHOO Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SHOO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SHOO Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.