Oversold

SIGA

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth12/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

SIGA's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and an expected return to profit offers recovery potential, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -70.1%, operating margin -77 percentage points. Free cash flow is -38.2% of revenue. The business score is 12.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 28.7% upside, or about $4.23.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 52.2% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 35.9% and the PE falls 25.5%. That gives $0.20 per share at a 7.9× PE, or about $1.57. Price swings alone suggest 46.2% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SIGA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE11x10x2% higher
PE percentile775054% higher
EPS-$0.04$0.71106% lower
FCF-$20.5M$57.1M136% lower
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SIGA’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

SIGA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitability--
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

SIGA’s available outlook is mixed, supported by an expected return to profitability.

SIGA PE Valuation

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This table applies SIGA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SIGA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SIGA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SIGA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SIGA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SIGA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SIGA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SIGA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SIGA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SIGA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SIGA PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares SIGA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SIGA Weekly Price

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This chart uses SIGA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SIGA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SIGA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SIGA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.