Oversold

SMA

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth54/ 100
Upside potential40/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

SMA's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages, but expected margin pressure limits the outlook, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -14.8%, operating margin +7.6 percentage points. The business score is 53.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $36.94. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 22.2% downside, or about $24.99, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SMA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE63x172x63% lower
EPS$0.51-$0.12$0.63 higher
FCF$110.3M$69.9M58% higher
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SMA’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

SMA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

SMA’s outlook is mixed, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

SMA PE Valuation

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This table applies SMA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SMA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SMA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SMA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SMA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SMA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SMA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SMA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SMA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SMA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SMA PE vs Real Estate Sector

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This chart compares SMA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Real Estate sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SMA Weekly Price

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This chart uses SMA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SMA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SMA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SMA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.