Oversold

SMR

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth23/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential70/ 100

SMR's valuation appears fair, weak fundamentals weigh on the score, while forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -81%, operating margin -6620.1 percentage points. The business score is 23/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 74% upside, or about $14.98.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 69.5% downside, or about $2.63, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SMR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$2.57-$1.34$1.23 lower
FCF-$776.9M-$193.4M-$583.5M
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SMR’s earnings are below their historical averages.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

SMR’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

SMR PE Valuation

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This table applies SMR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SMR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SMR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SMR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SMR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SMR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SMR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SMR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SMR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

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This chart compares SMR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Utilities sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SMR Weekly Price

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This chart uses SMR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SMR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SMR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

SWX

Same as last week
Valuation73/ 100
Cash flow & growth46/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SWX's valuation is historically cheap while fundamentals are somewhat mixed and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 12× versus the full-history median of 16.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 71.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 72.5/100. The model applies a 13.6% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 22.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 13.3× PE and $8.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -57%, earnings +167.1%, operating margin +16.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is -47.6% of revenue. The business score is 45.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $8.85 of EPS and a 13.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $117.26. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 36.2% upside, or about $117.28.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $6.02 of EPS and a 11.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $69.18 — 20% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SWX vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE12x20x39% lower
PE percentile3.75093% lower
EPS$7.17$1.48384% higher
FCF-$829.4M-$274.2M-$555.2M
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SWX’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

SWX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

SWX’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

SWX PE Valuation

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This table applies SWX's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SWX Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SWX's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SWX Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SWX's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SWX Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SWX's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SWX Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SWX's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SWX Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SWX PE vs Utilities Sector

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This chart compares SWX's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Utilities sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SWX Weekly Price

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This chart uses SWX's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SWX Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SWX's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SWX Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.