Oversold

SPOT

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth79/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

SPOT's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +9%, earnings +257%, operating margin +3.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 18.1% of revenue. The business score is 78.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 27.6% upside, or about $670.86.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 18.9%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 32.5% downside, or about $354.88, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SPOT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE33x118x72% lower
PE percentile115079% lower
EPS$16.08$0.821,865% higher
FCF$3.8B$1.2B223% higher
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SPOT’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

SPOT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

SPOT’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

SPOT PE Valuation

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This table applies SPOT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SPOT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SPOT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SPOT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SPOT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SPOT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SPOT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SPOT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SPOT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SPOT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SPOT PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares SPOT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SPOT Weekly Price

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This chart uses SPOT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SPOT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SPOT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SPOT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.