Oversold

SPWR

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth50/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential71/ 100

SPWR's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and expected earnings growth adds support, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +15.5%. Free cash flow is -21.7% of revenue. The business score is 49.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 73.1% upside, or about $0.62.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 38.8%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 70.9% downside, or about $0.10, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SPWR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE12x15x17% lower
PE percentile575014% higher
EPS-$0.02-$0.03$0.01 higher
FCF-$60.3M-$66.5M+$6.2M
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SPWR’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

SPWR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitability--
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

SPWR’s available outlook is mixed, though analyst coverage is limited.

SPWR PE Valuation

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This table applies SPWR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SPWR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SPWR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SPWR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SPWR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SPWR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SPWR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SPWR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SPWR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SPWR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SPWR PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares SPWR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SPWR Weekly Price

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This chart uses SPWR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SPWR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SPWR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SPWR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.