Oversold

SQM

Valuation85/ 100
Cash flow & growth94/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

SQM's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 2.8%, from $78.63 to $76.43. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 14.4× versus the full-history median of 25.4× shown in the valuation table, producing 81.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 84.7/100. The model applies a 28.7% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 26.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 17.8× PE and $6.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +59.3%, earnings +191%, operating margin +18.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is 28.9% of revenue. The business score is 93.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.79 of EPS and a 17.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $121.24 — 73% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $4.13 of EPS and a 13.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $54.78 — 22% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SQM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE14x39x63% lower
PE percentile315038% lower
EPS$4.86$4.0121% higher
FCF$1.9B$517.3M276% higher
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SQM’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

SQM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

SQM’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

SQM PE Valuation

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This table applies SQM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SQM Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SQM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SQM Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SQM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SQM Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SQM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SQM Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SQM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SQM Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SQM PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares SQM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SQM Weekly Price

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This chart uses SQM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SQM Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SQM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SQM Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.