Oversold

STLD

Same as last week
Valuation14/ 100
Cash flow & growth77/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

STLD's valuation is expensive, fundamentals are below averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 21.7× versus the full-history median of 8.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 10.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 13.5/100. The model applies a 37.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 15.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 21.4× PE and $16.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +19.8%, earnings +61%, operating margin +3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 4.7% of revenue. The business score is 76.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $16.40 of EPS and a 21.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $350.81 — 46% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $9.52 of EPS and a 17.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $162.68 — 32% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

STLD vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE22x11x97% higher
PE percentile905081% higher
EPS$11.03$11.867% lower
FCF$955.6M$1.2B21% lower
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STLD’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

STLD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

STLD’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

STLD PE Valuation

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This table applies STLD's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

STLD Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks STLD's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

STLD Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks STLD's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

STLD Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks STLD's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

STLD Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in STLD's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

STLD Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

STLD PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares STLD's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

STLD Weekly Price

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This chart uses STLD's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

STLD Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares STLD's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

STLD Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.