Oversold

STT

Valuation26/ 100
Cash flow & growth64/ 100
Upside potential36/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

STT's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 9 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 0.5%, from $193.33 to $194.26. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 9.0 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 17.1× versus the full-history median of 11.2× shown in the valuation table, producing 24.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 26.1/100. The model applies a 18.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 12.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 15.4× PE and $14.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +2.2%, earnings +26.9%, operating margin +3.1 percentage points. The business score is 63.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $14.44 of EPS and a 15.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $222.60 — 15% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $9.71 of EPS and a 14.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $142.74 — 26% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

STT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE17x11x54% higher
PE percentile10050100% higher
EPS$11.33$7.3255% higher
FCF-$5.2B-$2.3B-$2.8B
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STT’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

STT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

STT’s outlook is generally improving, with declining sales expectations a concern.

STT PE Valuation

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This table applies STT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

STT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks STT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

STT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks STT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

STT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks STT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

STT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in STT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

STT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

STT PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares STT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

STT Weekly Price

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This chart uses STT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

STT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares STT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

STT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.