Oversold

SU

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth59/ 100
Upside potential40/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

SU's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 6 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 2.9%, from $65.43 to $67.33. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 5.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +18.7%, operating margin -4.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 17.5% of revenue. The business score is 58.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 18% upside, or about $81.22.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 26.7% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 15% and the PE falls 13.8%. That gives $4.62 per share at a 10.9× PE, or about $50.43. Price swings alone suggest 25.4% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SU vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE13x27x53% lower
PE percentile705040% higher
EPS$5.44$2.7399% higher
FCF$7.5B$5.3B42% higher
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SU’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

SU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

SU’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

SU PE Valuation

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This table applies SU's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SU Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SU's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SU Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SU's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SU Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SU's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SU Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SU's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SU Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SU PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares SU's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SU Weekly Price

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This chart uses SU's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SU Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SU's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SU Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.