Oversold

SUN

Same as last week
Valuation22/ 100
Cash flow & growth75/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

SUN's valuation is expensive, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 15.2× versus the full-history median of 9.4× shown in the valuation table, producing 21.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 22.3/100. The model applies a 11.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 11.9× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 14.8× PE and $6.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +83.3%, earnings +145.7%, operating margin +1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 4.2% of revenue. The business score is 75.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.19 of EPS and a 14.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $91.34 — 17% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $4.30 of EPS and a 13× PE, suggesting a share price of about $55.87 — 28% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SUN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE15x11x40% higher
PE percentile845069% higher
EPS$5.11$4.2121% higher
FCF$1.7B$377M340% higher
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SUN’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

SUN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

SUN’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

SUN PE Valuation

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This table applies SUN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SUN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SUN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SUN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SUN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SUN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SUN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SUN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SUN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SUN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SUN PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares SUN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SUN Weekly Price

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This chart uses SUN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SUN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SUN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SUN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.