Oversold

SUPN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth49/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

SUPN's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +24.9%, operating margin -23.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 2.3% of revenue. The business score is 49.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 19.3% upside, or about $49.68.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 29.9% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 17% and the PE falls 15.5%. That gives $0.73 per share at a 39.8× PE, or about $29.19. Price swings alone suggest 27.7% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SUPN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE47x91x48% lower
PE percentile815062% higher
EPS-$1.92$0.97298% lower
FCF$18.8M$122.9M85% lower
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SUPN’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

SUPN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

SUPN’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

SUPN PE Valuation

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This table applies SUPN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SUPN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SUPN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SUPN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SUPN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SUPN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SUPN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SUPN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SUPN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SUPN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SUPN PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares SUPN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SUPN Weekly Price

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This chart uses SUPN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SUPN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SUPN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SUPN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.