Oversold

SWAG

Same as last week
Valuation16/ 100
Cash flow & growth60/ 100
Upside potential26/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

SWAG's valuation is expensive, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 786.4× versus the full-history median of 67.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 15.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 15.7/100. The model applies a 2.5% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 70.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 609.3× PE and $0 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +10.3%, operating margin +2.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is -3.3% of revenue. The business score is 59.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $0.00 of EPS and a 609.3× PE, suggesting about $1.48 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $1.99. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.00 of EPS and a 587.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $1.09 — 37% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SWAG vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE786x86x812% higher
PE percentile995099% higher
EPS$0.00-$0.06$0.06 higher
FCF-$3.9M-$2.8M-$1.2M
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SWAG’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

SWAG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

SWAG’s outlook is mixed, with declining sales expectations a concern.

SWAG PE Valuation

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This table applies SWAG's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SWAG Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SWAG's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SWAG Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SWAG's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SWAG Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SWAG's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SWAG Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SWAG's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SWAG Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SWAG PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares SWAG's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SWAG Weekly Price

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This chart uses SWAG's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SWAG Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SWAG's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SWAG Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.