Oversold

SWBI

Valuation27/ 100
Cash flow & growth78/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

SWBI's valuation is somewhat elevated while fundamentals provide solid support and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 4 points, mainly due to business results and financial strength. Price rose 0.9%, from $12.78 to $12.89. Reported annual EPS changed from $0.41 to $0.54.

Business results and financial strength added 2.6 points. Valuation and price changes added 1.6 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 23.7× versus the full-history median of 14.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 22/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 26.8/100. The model applies a 26.5% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 24.6× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 26.1× PE and $0.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +17%, earnings +99.4%, operating margin +1.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 14.9% of revenue. The business score is 77.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $0.74 of EPS and a 26.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $19.38. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 50.3% upside, or about $19.37.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.47 of EPS and a 19.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $8.95 — 31% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SWBI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE24x20x20% higher
PE percentile715043% higher
EPS$0.54$1.6667% lower
FCF$82M$68.7M19% higher
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SWBI’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

SWBI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

SWBI’s outlook is mixed, though analyst coverage is limited.

SWBI PE Valuation

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This table applies SWBI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SWBI Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SWBI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SWBI Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SWBI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SWBI Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SWBI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SWBI Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SWBI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SWBI Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SWBI PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares SWBI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SWBI Weekly Price

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This chart uses SWBI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SWBI Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SWBI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SWBI Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.