Oversold

TALO

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth73/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

TALO's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to a return to profit and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +2.4%, operating margin +12.5 percentage points. Free cash flow is 16.7% of revenue. The business score is 72.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 30.2% upside, or about $23.02.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 25.5%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 36.7% downside, or about $11.19, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TALO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE54x31x73% higher
PE percentile805060% higher
EPS-$2.36-$0.87$1.49 lower
FCF$330.8M$249.7M32% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

TALO’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

TALO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

TALO’s outlook is generally improving, supported by an expected return to profitability.

TALO PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies TALO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TALO Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks TALO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TALO Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks TALO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TALO Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks TALO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TALO Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in TALO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TALO Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TALO PE vs Energy Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares TALO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TALO Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses TALO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TALO Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares TALO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TALO Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.