Oversold

TAP

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth41/ 100
Upside potential26/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

TAP's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -1.8%, operating margin -37 percentage points. Free cash flow is 12% of revenue. The business score is 41.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $44.77. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 36.3% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 22.9% and the PE falls 17.3%. That gives $3.57 per share at a 7× PE, or about $24.82. Price swings alone suggest 21.4% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TAP vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE8.4x36x77% lower
PE percentile050100% lower
EPS-$11.54$0.294,131% lower
FCF$1.3B$1.1B22% higher
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TAP’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

TAP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionTight

TAP’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

TAP PE Valuation

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This table applies TAP's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TAP Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks TAP's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TAP Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks TAP's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TAP Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks TAP's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TAP Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in TAP's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TAP Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TAP PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

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This chart compares TAP's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TAP Weekly Price

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This chart uses TAP's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TAP Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares TAP's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TAP Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.