Oversold

TFPM

Same as last week
Valuation58/ 100
Cash flow & growth66/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

TFPM's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Estimated operating-earnings valuation: current PE is 24.2x versus 34.9x in comparable estimated history. The model caps earnings at operating profit after interest, assuming proportional tax and per-share effects. This is an estimate, not a verified investment-gain adjustment.

Reported EPS and PE remain in the valuation table. The same estimate is applied to historical earnings and eligible price scenarios. Its contribution to the score is limited by the available evidence; it does not identify all non-recurring items. Comparable history: 64 weeks.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +50.6%, operating margin +11.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is -44.6% of revenue. The business score is 65.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $1.53 of EPS and a 26.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $40.56. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 20.1% upside, or about $40.57.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.16 of EPS and a 23.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $27.07 — 31% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TFPM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE17x83x80% lower
PE percentile0.65099% lower
EPS$2.00$0.40399% higher
FCF-$217.9M$33.1M759% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

TFPM’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

TFPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

TFPM’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

TFPM PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies TFPM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TFPM Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks TFPM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TFPM Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks TFPM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TFPM Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks TFPM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TFPM Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in TFPM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TFPM Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TFPM PE vs Basic Materials Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares TFPM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TFPM Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses TFPM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TFPM Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares TFPM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TFPM Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.