Oversold

TLK

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth60/ 100
Upside potential33/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TLK's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.9%, from $14.58 to $14.85. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 0.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +26.5%, earnings -4.7%, operating margin -4.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 22.3% of revenue. The business score is 59.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 16.6% upside, or about $17.42.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 34.3% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 21.6% and the PE falls 16.2%. That gives $1.01 per share at a 9.7× PE, or about $9.81. Price swings alone suggest 24.6% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TLK vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE12x13x8% lower
PE percentile365029% lower
EPS$1.29$1.5617% lower
FCF$2.5B$2.3B5% higher
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TLK’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

TLK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

TLK’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

TLK PE Valuation

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This table applies TLK's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TLK Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks TLK's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TLK Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks TLK's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TLK Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks TLK's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TLK Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in TLK's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TLK Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TLK PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares TLK's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TLK Weekly Price

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This chart uses TLK's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TLK Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares TLK's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TLK Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

TMUS

Same as last week
Valuation76/ 100
Cash flow & growth55/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

TMUS's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 19.1× versus the full-history median of 26.2× shown in the valuation table, producing 70.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 76/100. The model applies a 27.4% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 22.7× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 21.4× PE and $13.1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +9.7%, earnings -9.8%, operating margin -2.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 16.6% of revenue. The business score is 54.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $13.08 of EPS and a 21.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $279.80. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 53.5% upside, or about $279.88.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $8.33 of EPS and a 18× PE, suggesting a share price of about $150.42 — 18% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TMUS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE19x38x50% lower
PE percentile45092% lower
EPS$9.55$5.5373% higher
FCF$15.3B$3.9B290% higher
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TMUS’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionTight

TMUS’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

TMUS PE Valuation

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This table applies TMUS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks TMUS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks TMUS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks TMUS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TMUS Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in TMUS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TMUS Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares TMUS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TMUS Weekly Price

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This chart uses TMUS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares TMUS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TMUS Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.