Oversold

TLRY

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth59/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

TLRY's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +1.2%, operating margin +274.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is -9.9% of revenue. The business score is 59.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 51.9% upside, or about $6.84.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 32.1%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 55% downside, or about $2.02, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TLRY vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$1.33-$15.84$14.50 higher
FCF-$114.1M-$121.3M+$7.2M
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TLRY’s earnings are above their historical averages.

TLRY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

TLRY’s outlook is mixed, though analyst coverage is limited.

TLRY PE Valuation

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This table applies TLRY's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TLRY Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks TLRY's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TLRY Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks TLRY's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TLRY Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks TLRY's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TLRY Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in TLRY's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TLRY Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TLRY PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares TLRY's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TLRY Weekly Price

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This chart uses TLRY's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TLRY Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares TLRY's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TLRY Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.