Historical cheapness: current PE is 17.7× versus the full-history median of 17.2× shown in the valuation table, producing 47.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 44.5/100. The model applies a 4.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 18× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 17.7× PE and $4.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -4.1%, earnings +28.2%, operating margin +0.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 7% of revenue. The business score is 57.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $4.24 of EPS and a 17.7× PE, suggesting about $75.12 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $75.91. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $3.10 of EPS and a 14.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $45.24 — 32% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

The score rose 2 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 9.1%, from $257.08 to $280.53.

Valuation and price changes added 2.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Historical cheapness: current PE is 58.2× versus the full-history median of 71.5× shown in the valuation table, producing 63.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 74.1/100. The model applies a 38.8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 71.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 74× PE and $6.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +26.2%, earnings +111.5%, operating margin +1.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 25.5% of revenue. The business score is 82.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.59 of EPS and a 74× PE, suggesting a share price of about $488.00. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 89.8% upside, or about $487.90.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $3.91 of EPS and a 52.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $204.47 — 21% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.