Oversold

TRIP

Valuation5/ 100
Cash flow & growth35/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential62/ 100

TRIP's valuation is expensive, below average fundamentals limit its appeal, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 14 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 5.5%, from $9.87 to $9.32.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 13.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 909× versus the full-history median of 57.3× shown in the valuation table, producing 5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 5/100. The model applies a -18.7% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 64.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 722.3× PE and $0 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -4.4%, earnings -97.9%, operating margin -4.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 7.4% of revenue. The business score is 35/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $0.01 of EPS and a 722.3× PE, suggesting about $6.60 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $10.45. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.01 of EPS and a 569.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $3.42 — 62% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TRIP vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE909x118x672% higher
PE percentile9950100% higher
EPS$0.01-$0.42$0.43 higher
FCF$132.8M$147.7M10% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

TRIP’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

TRIP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

TRIP’s outlook is generally improving, with declining sales expectations a concern.

TRIP PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies TRIP's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TRIP Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks TRIP's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TRIP Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks TRIP's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TRIP Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks TRIP's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TRIP Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in TRIP's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TRIP Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TRIP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares TRIP's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TRIP Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses TRIP's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TRIP Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares TRIP's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TRIP Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.