Oversold

TRP

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth74/ 100
Upside potential34/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

TRP's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 10 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.2%, from $61.86 to $62.61. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 10.1 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +25%, earnings -18.3%, operating margin +2.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 22.7% of revenue. The business score is 73.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $70.01. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 24.7% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 15.1% and the PE falls 11.4%. That gives $2.05 per share at a 22.3× PE, or about $45.83. Price swings alone suggest 18.2% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TRP vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE25x18x40% higher
PE percentile845068% higher
EPS$2.42$2.229% higher
FCF$2.6B$495.1M432% higher
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TRP’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

TRP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

TRP’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

TRP PE Valuation

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This table applies TRP's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TRP Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks TRP's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TRP Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks TRP's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TRP Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks TRP's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TRP Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in TRP's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TRP Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TRP PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares TRP's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TRP Weekly Price

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This chart uses TRP's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TRP Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares TRP's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TRP Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.