Oversold

TRTX

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth31/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

TRTX's valuation appears fair, below average fundamentals limit its appeal and expected margin pressure limits the outlook, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 11 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 2.1%, from $7.73 to $7.89. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 11.2 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -18.8%, operating margin -4.3 percentage points. The business score is 30.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $9.07. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 24.9% downside, or about $5.93, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TRTX vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE15x8.4x73% higher
PE percentile975096% higher
EPS$0.54-$0.11$0.65 higher
FCF$82.9M$102.3M19% lower
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TRTX’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

TRTX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

TRTX’s outlook is mixed, with declining sales expectations a concern.

TRTX PE Valuation

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This table applies TRTX's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TRTX Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks TRTX's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TRTX Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks TRTX's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TRTX Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks TRTX's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TRTX Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in TRTX's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TRTX Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TRTX PE vs Real Estate Sector

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This chart compares TRTX's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Real Estate sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TRTX Weekly Price

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This chart uses TRTX's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TRTX Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares TRTX's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TRTX Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.