Oversold

TUSK

Valuation35/ 100
Cash flow & growth54/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

TUSK's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 4 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.0%, from $3.09 to $3.12. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 4.3 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 210.8× versus the full-history median of 12.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 34.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 34.7/100. The model applies a 2.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 14× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +13.8%. The business score is 54/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 30.5% upside, or about $4.07.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 44.3% downside, or about $1.74, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TUSK vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE211x18x1,087% higher
PE percentile10049104% higher
EPS$0.01-$1.75$1.76 higher
FCF-$117.9M$15.4M865% lower
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TUSK’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

TUSK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss widening
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

TUSK’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

TUSK PE Valuation

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This table applies TUSK's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TUSK Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks TUSK's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TUSK Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks TUSK's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TUSK Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks TUSK's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TUSK Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in TUSK's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TUSK Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TUSK PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares TUSK's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TUSK Weekly Price

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This chart uses TUSK's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TUSK Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares TUSK's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TUSK Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.