Oversold

TXO

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth61/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

TXO's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +25.3%, operating margin +4.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is -27.1% of revenue. The business score is 61.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 16.2% upside, or about $17.50.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 29.6% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 17% and the PE falls 15.2%. That gives $0.41 per share at a 25.8× PE, or about $10.60. Price swings alone suggest 23.9% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TXO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE30x18x64% higher
PE percentile705041% higher
EPS-$0.76-$0.85$0.09 higher
FCF-$113M-$48.8M-$64.2M
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TXO’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

TXO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

TXO’s outlook is mixed, supported by an expected return to profitability.

TXO PE Valuation

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This table applies TXO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TXO Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks TXO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TXO Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks TXO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TXO Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks TXO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TXO Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in TXO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TXO Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TXO PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares TXO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TXO Weekly Price

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This chart uses TXO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TXO Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares TXO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TXO Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.