Oversold

TXT

Valuation56/ 100
Cash flow & growth64/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

TXT's valuation appears fair and fundamentals are somewhat mixed.

Score change since last week

The score rose 2 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 4.8%, from $83.04 to $79.07. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 1.1 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 15.3× versus the full-history median of 18.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 61.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 56.3/100. The model applies a 1.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 17.8× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 16× PE and $6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +8.8%, earnings +20.1%, operating margin +0.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 5% of revenue. The business score is 64.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.01 of EPS and a 16× PE, suggesting a share price of about $96.11. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 18.7% upside, or about $96.15.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $4.12 of EPS and a 14.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $60.87 — 25% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

TXT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE15x20x24% lower
PE percentile9.25082% lower
EPS$5.30$3.8040% higher
FCF$759M$906M16% lower
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TXT’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

TXT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
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TXT PE Valuation

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This table applies TXT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

TXT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks TXT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

TXT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks TXT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

TXT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks TXT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

TXT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in TXT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

TXT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

TXT PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares TXT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

TXT Weekly Price

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This chart uses TXT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

TXT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares TXT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

TXT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.