Oversold

UA

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth34/ 100
Upside potential33/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

UA's valuation appears fair, below average fundamentals limit its appeal and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -3.4%, operating margin -9.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is -1.6% of revenue. The business score is 34/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 24% upside, or about $6.19.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 48.5% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 32.1% and the PE falls 24.2%. That gives $0.41 per share at a 6.3× PE, or about $2.57. Price swings alone suggest 37.3% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

UA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE8.3x26x68% lower
PE percentile235053% lower
EPS-$1.15$0.034,401% lower
FCF-$81.1M-$12.4M-$68.7M
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UA’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

UA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

UA’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

UA PE Valuation

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This table applies UA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

UA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks UA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

UA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks UA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

UA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks UA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

UA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in UA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

UA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

UA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares UA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

UA Weekly Price

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This chart uses UA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

UA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares UA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

UA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.