Oversold

UBS

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth58/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

UBS's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 11 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 0.9%, from $54.90 to $55.38. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 11.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +5.6%, operating margin +6.1 percentage points. The business score is 57.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 17.8% upside, or about $64.30.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 24.4% downside, or about $41.26, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

UBS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE19x12x61% higher
PE percentile795059% higher
EPS$2.83$3.088% lower
FCF$18.6B$29.8B37% lower
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UBS’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

UBS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

UBS’s outlook is generally improving, with declining sales expectations a concern.

UBS PE Valuation

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This table applies UBS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

UBS Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks UBS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

UBS Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks UBS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

UBS Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks UBS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

UBS Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in UBS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

UBS Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

UBS PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares UBS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

UBS Weekly Price

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This chart uses UBS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

UBS Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares UBS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

UBS Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.