The score fell 3 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 1.2%, from $19.22 to $18.98.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 2.9 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Historical cheapness: current PE is 11.9× versus the full-history median of 12.5× shown in the valuation table, producing 53.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 50.3/100. The model applies a 5% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 13× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 12.6× PE and $1.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +5.9%, earnings -13.5%, operating margin -0.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 7.5% of revenue. The business score is 53/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $1.75 of EPS and a 12.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $22.14 — 20% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.29 of EPS and a 10.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $14.11 — 23% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.