Oversold

UROY

Valuation66/ 100
Cash flow & growth75/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

UROY's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals provide solid support, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 4 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 4.3%, from $4.25 to $4.44.

Valuation and price changes added 4.5 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 16.5× versus the full-history median of 56.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 65.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 65.9/100. The model applies a 25.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 56.5× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +1540.3%. Free cash flow is 91.4% of revenue. The business score is 74.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 35.9% upside, or about $6.03.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 48.8% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 33.8% and the PE falls 22.6%. That gives $0.18 per share at a 12.8× PE, or about $2.27. Price swings alone suggest 44.8% downside. This includes further PE compression despite today’s low historical valuation.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

UROY vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE17x244x93% lower
PE percentile145072% lower
EPS$0.27-$0.01$0.28 higher
FCF$169.1M-$29.5M+$198.6M
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UROY’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

UROY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

UROY’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

UROY PE Valuation

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This table applies UROY's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

UROY Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks UROY's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

UROY Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks UROY's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

UROY Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks UROY's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

UROY Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in UROY's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

UROY Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

UROY PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares UROY's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

UROY Weekly Price

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This chart uses UROY's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

UROY Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares UROY's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

UROY Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.