Oversold

USAC

Same as last week
Valuation71/ 100
Cash flow & growth76/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

USAC's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 26.1× versus the full-history median of 34.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 68.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 71.3/100. The model applies a 18.5% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 32.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 29.3× PE and $1.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +19.9%, earnings +58.2%, operating margin -0.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 26.3% of revenue. The business score is 76.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $1.36 of EPS and a 29.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $39.92. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 44.4% upside, or about $39.91.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.89 of EPS and a 24.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $22.18 — 20% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

USAC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE26x152x83% lower
PE percentile2.45095% lower
EPS$1.06-$0.52$1.58 higher
FCF$309.8M$161.9M91% higher
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USAC’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

USAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

USAC’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

USAC PE Valuation

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This table applies USAC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

USAC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks USAC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

USAC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks USAC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

USAC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks USAC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

USAC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in USAC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

USAC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

USAC PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares USAC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

USAC Weekly Price

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This chart uses USAC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

USAC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares USAC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

USAC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.