Oversold

USNA

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth42/ 100
Upside potential36/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

USNA's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +1.6%, operating margin -4.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is 1.7% of revenue. The business score is 41.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 21.3% upside, or about $18.15.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 37.3% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 22.4% and the PE falls 19.2%. That gives $0.36 per share at a 26.4× PE, or about $9.38. Price swings alone suggest 36.3% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

USNA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE33x17x93% higher
PE percentile955091% higher
EPS-$1.21$3.71132% lower
FCF$15.9M$77.3M79% lower
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USNA’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

USNA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

USNA’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

USNA PE Valuation

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This table applies USNA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

USNA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks USNA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

USNA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks USNA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

USNA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks USNA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

USNA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in USNA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

USNA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

USNA PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

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This chart compares USNA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Defensive sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

USNA Weekly Price

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This chart uses USNA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

USNA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares USNA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

USNA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.