Oversold

VALN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth14/ 100
Upside potential31/ 100
Risk potential59/ 100

VALN's valuation appears fair, weak fundamentals weigh on the score, while forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -26.9%, operating margin -55.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is -59.6% of revenue. The business score is 13.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 26.1% upside, or about $8.69.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 59.3% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 40.2% and the PE falls 31.9%. That gives lower earnings at a lower valuation, or about the scenario price. Price swings alone suggest 46.8% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

VALN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$2.12-$1.62$0.50 lower
FCF-$99.8M-$112.8M+$13M
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VALN’s earnings are below their historical averages.

VALN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

VALN’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

VALN PE Valuation

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This table applies VALN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

VALN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks VALN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

VALN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks VALN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

VALN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks VALN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

VALN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in VALN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

VALN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

VALN PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares VALN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

VALN Weekly Price

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This chart uses VALN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

VALN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares VALN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

VALN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.